Iran regional confrontation
HormuzMonitor says Kpler puts Gulf crude bypassing Hormuz at 40%, up from 17%
- Location
- Strait of Hormuz shipping flows
- Importance
- Standard
HormuzStraitMonitor posted that 40% of Gulf crude now bypasses the Strait of Hormuz, up from 17% before the war, attributing the figure to Kpler. The same post said Saudi Arabia’s East-West pipeline to the Red Sea was shut from 11 to 22 September after strikes from Iraq and that an AFP source said a new attack halted it again on 5 October, while Bloomberg sources said it was flowing normally. The post is retained as an attributed market and transit claim and preserves the AFP/Bloomberg discrepancy instead of treating either version as settled.
Verification: unverified
Evidence: 40% of Gulf crude now bypasses Hormuz, up from 17% before the war, per Kpler
Single X post from HormuzStraitMonitor. Kpler, AFP and Bloomberg are cited textually, but their underlying documents were not attached or read here, so the 40%/17% figure and the pipeline status are kept as attributed claims with the stated discrepancy.
- 40% of Gulf crude now bypasses Hormuz, up from 17% before the war, per KplerHormuzStraitMonitor · Social post · supports · Published 09 Oct 2026, 08:56 UTC · Retrieved 09 Oct 2026, 22:41 UTC
Classification
Economic · Commercial shipping · Transit · Aggregate
Tags: hormuz · kpler · oil_flows · pipeline
Location methodology
Claims
- HormuzStraitMonitor said, citing Kpler, that 40% of Gulf crude now bypasses Hormuz, up from 17% before the war. · Attributed to HormuzStraitMonitor · Confidence: Unknown · Evidence: 40% of Gulf crude now bypasses Hormuz, up from 17% before the war, per Kpler
- HormuzStraitMonitor said an AFP source reported a new attack halted Saudi Arabia’s East-West pipeline again on 5 October, while Bloomberg sources said it was flowing normally. · Attributed to HormuzStraitMonitor · Confidence: Unknown · Evidence: 40% of Gulf crude now bypasses Hormuz, up from 17% before the war, per Kpler · The discrepancy is preserved because the underlying AFP and Bloomberg documents were not recovered in this pass.
Review and provenance
Revision 1 · First published 09 Oct 2026, 22:41 UTC · Current revision 09 Oct 2026, 22:41 UTC · Change: Initial